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Advances in Earthquake Prediction

Release Date
2022-08-30

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 5/5

In Stock

3.0 $

Category
Earth Science

File Type
Book

Language
English

File Format
PDF

Year
2011

Edition
1

ISBN-10
3662501104

ISBN-13
978-3662501108

Pages
274 pages

File Size
23.474 MB

Release Date
2022-08-30

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Book Summary

The preface book of “Advances in Earthquake Prediction” explains common skepticism about earthquake prediction, but argues it is possible with intensive research. Just as Copernicus overturned geocentrism and cancer cures were developed, determination can advance earthquake prediction despite opposition. The author advocates moving past unconstructive academic debates to focus on this vital goal of protecting lives.

Specifically, some claim prediction is impossible, harming preparedness efforts. Definition-based critiques requiring precise predictions of timing, location, and magnitude also hinder progress. Rather than debating fringe claims, research should unravel the complex precursor signals preceding quakes. Statistics on worldwide seismic patterns can identify universal precursors applicable to particular sites.

Additionally, the Reid model of tectonic bending preceding fault slip is overly simplistic compared to modern understandings, yet still underlies hazard assessments in Advances in Earthquake Prediction. However, no two quakes manifest identically, even at one site. While the physics may be consistent, precursors vary.

Transitioning to content, “Advances in Earthquake Prediction” examines traces of foreshocks, seismicity patterns, and characteristic precursors indicating impending quakes. It integrates worldwide statistics to identify universal signals applicable across sites.

In summary, despite obstacles, the preface advocates determined advancement of earthquake prediction to save lives. Moving beyond unproductive critique, research can gradually unravel the complex precursors through statistics and physics-based understandings. By illuminating these precursor puzzles, “Advances in Earthquake Prediction” aims to enable ever-improving earthquake prediction capabilities.